Do I DCA ?
Bitcoin Cycle Indicator
Signal from 0 (top) to 100 (bottom) based on 29 macro, market, sentiment, on-chain, microstructure, and exogenous indicators.
Notable bottom signals building. Moderate-to-high probability of favorable zone.
Last updated: 2026-07-29 03:54
DCA Advisor16
Avg top
87%
Accuracy
74
Avg bottom
Current vs historical scores
Confirmed Bottoms
Confirmed Tops
Backtest is in-sample (retrospective). Not all indicators were available for historical dates. Past performance does not predict future results.
MacroWeight: 25%
56/100Measures global central bank liquidity available for markets
Low: Contraction, hostile environment → BTC suffers
High: Expansion, favorable liquidity → accumulation zone
Liquidity cycle phase — direction and position of the 3-month rate of change
Low: RoC falling, prolonged deceleration → caution
High: RoC at trough and rising, BTC hasn't reacted → buy zone
US manufacturing output — proxy for economic health
Low: Sustained expansion → near top
High: Contraction + reversal signals → contrarian bottom
A Chinese credit peak precedes a BTC rise by ~3 months
Low: No credit impulse → no bullish catalyst
High: Recent peak + BTC hasn't reacted yet → probable bottom
Dollar strength — a weak dollar favors risk assets
Low: Strong dollar, flight to safety → top zone
High: Weak dollar, capital flows to risk assets → bottom zone
Fed monetary policy — direct lever on liquidity
Low: Tightening cycle (rate hikes / QT) → hostile environment
High: Easing cycle (rate cuts / QE) → bottom
US unemployment rate — influences Fed decisions
Low: Slight rise without Fed reaction → no monetary support
High: Sharp unemployment rise, forces the Fed to act → contrarian bottom